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Vitalik: An on-chain gas futures market should be established to predict and hedge future transaction fee risks

2025-12-06 20:10:49

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Vitalik stated on social media that the industry urgently needs a "trustless on-chain Gas futures market," similar to a "prediction market for BASE FEE," to address users' uncertainty about future transaction fee trends.

He pointed out that many people are concerned that although on-chain fees are low now, they may still rise in two years; while the BAL, ePBS, and future ZK-EVM scaling paths he proposed can increase the gas limit, the market still hopes to see clearer price expectations.

Vitalik believes that if an on-chain Gas futures tool can be established, the market could form a clear signal about future transaction fees, allowing users to hedge against future Gas costs, effectively locking in transaction fee expenditures for a specific time period in advance.

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