Catcher Predict: "When will the US and Iran ceasefire before __?" "April 15" Winning rate plummets by 1%

According to monitoring by Catcher Predict, in the event "Will the US and Iran cease fire before __?" on the prediction market Polymarket, the "Yes" option in the sub-market "April 15" experienced a sharp fluctuation in winning probability, dropping from 19.5% an hour ago to the current 18.5% (a fluctuation of 1%). Please note the impact of related breaking news.