The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 82.3%, while the probability of a rate cut is 17.7%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 82.3%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 17.7%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 32.4%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 63.5%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 4%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 50.4%.