The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 84.7%, and the probability of a rate cut is 15.3%

According to Jinshi reports, CME's "Fed Watch" shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged until March is 84.7%, while the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 15.3%. By April, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 29%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 68%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 3%. By June, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 49.5%.